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We review the literature on robust Bayesian analysis as a tool for global sensitivity analysis and for statistical decision-making under ambiguity. We discuss the methods proposed in the literature, including the different ways of constructing the set of priors that are the key input of the...
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This paper reconciles the asymptotic disagreement between Bayesian and frequentist inference in set-identified models by adopting a multiple-prior (robust) Bayesian approach. We propose new tools for Bayesian inference in set-identified models. We show that these tools have a well-defined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011924556
This paper reconciles the asymptotic disagreement between Bayesian and frequentist inference in set-identified models by adopting a multiple-prior (robust) Bayesian approach. We propose new tools for Bayesian inference in set-identified models and show that they have a well-defined posterior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202355
Uncertainty about the choice of identifying assumptions is common in causal studies, but is often ignored in empirical practice. This paper considers uncertainty over models that impose different identifying assumptions, which can lead to a mix of point‐ and set‐identified models. We propose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807735
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This paper examines identification power of the instrument exogeneity assumption in the treatment effect model. We derive the identification region: The set of potential outcome distributions that are compatible with data and the model restriction. The model restrictions whose identifying power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003899093
This paper develops inference and statistical decision for set-identified parameters from the robust Bayes perspective. When a model is set-identified, prior knowledge for model parameters is decomposed into two parts: the one that can be updated by data (revisable prior knowledge) and the one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009008702
This paper develops a specification test for the instrument validity conditions in the heterogeneous treatment effect model with a binary treatment and a discrete instrument. A necessary testable implication for the joint restriction of instrument exogeneity and instrument monotonicity is given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010190476