statistics in forecasting inflation has often been relegated to simple univariate or Phillips curve approaches, thus limiting … extreme trimmed-mean measure - the median CPI - improves the forecasts of both core and headline inflation (CPI and personal … consumption expenditures) across our set of monthly and quarterly BVARs. Although the inflation forecasting improvements are …

Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …

.S. inflation. We examine the overall performance of Phillips curves relative to some well-known benchmarks, the efficiency with … which the Federal Reserve’s Greenbook forecasts of inflation use real activity information, and shifts in the key … determinants of the reduced-form triangle modelʺ of inflation. We develop a structural model-based interpretation of observed …

inflation we might end up with price increases independent of the inflation rate. The purpose of this teaching note is to … present an approach to estimate nominal price increases examining historical nominal prices and inflation rates. This way we … immediate future inflation rate. This approach can be used to asses the risk premium a debt holder (in case it is a bank loan …

The objective of this study was to shed new light on the non-linear effects of inflation and the inflation thresholds … countries in order to see if there are any differences in the empirical linkage between inflation and long-term growth. For the … full sample of African countries, the empirical evidence showed that inflation hampered growth if it exceeds 11.1 percent …