Showing 1 - 10 of 13,098
There is increasing demand for models of time-varying and non-Gaussian dependencies for mul- tivariate time-series. Available models suffer from the curse of dimensionality or restrictive assumptions on the parameters and the distribution. A promising class of models are the hierarchical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003953027
This paper formulates dynamic density functions, based upon skewed-t and similar representations, to model and forecast electricity price spreads between different hours of the day. This supports an optimal day ahead storage and discharge schedule, and thereby facilitates a bidding strategy for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014107616
regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966219
There is increasing demand for models of time-varying and non-Gaussian dependencies for multivariate time-series. Available models suffer from the curse of dimensionality or restrictive assumptions on the parameters and the distribution. A promising class of models are the hierarchical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966304
This paper proposes methods for estimation and inference in multivariate, multi-quantile models. The theory can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020592
functions jointly for the conditioanl tail expectation and quantile. We establish asymptotic theory of our proposed CTATE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242439
This paper discusses three families of flexible parametric probability density functions: the skewed generalized t, the exponential generalized beta of the second kind, and the inverse hyperbolic sin distributions. These families allow quite flexible modeling the first four moments of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132439
This paper employs methodologies that were developed for heavy right-tailed distributions to construct the point and interval estimates of the expected operational losses in the US. These are consistent and unbiased estimates of the mean of the heavy right-tailed loss distribution, whereas those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138983
We describe characteristics of various risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, etc.) that are used to analyze and quantify the tail risk exposure, and discuss their relative strengths and weaknesses. Emphasis is placed on presenting and comparing methodologies to compute and backtest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053188
Complex phenomena in environmental sciences can be conveniently represented by several inter-dependent random variables. In order to describe such situations, copula-based models have been studied during the last year. In this paper, we consider a novel family of bivariate copulas, called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238359