Linear estimators of the affine term structure model are inconsistent since they cannot reproduce the factors used in estimation. This is a serious handicap empirically, giving a worse fit than the conventional MLE estimator that ensures consistency. We show that a simple self-consistent...

This paper evaluates the robustness of UK bond term premia from affine term structure models. We show that this approach is able to match standard specification tests. In addition, term premia display countercyclical behaviour and are positively related to uncertainty about future inflation,...