Mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regressions allow to estimate dynamic equations that explain a low-frequency variable by high-frequency variables and their lags. To account for temporal instabilities in this relationship, this paper discusses an extension to MIDAS with time-varying parameters, which...

Im Rahmen moderner geldpolitischer Strategien spielt das Konzept des Produktionspotenzials eine wichtige Rolle. Es repräsentiert die nachhaltigen Produktionsmöglichkeiten einer Volkswirtschaft, die ohne Gefahren für die Preisstabilität realisiert werden können. Für eine empirische...

This paper investigates uncertainty around point estimates of the euro area NAIRU in a state space framework. The relative accuracy of alternative measures of uncertainty for state space models are compared using Monte Carlo simulations. A direct bootstrap method yields confidence intervals with...

Mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regressions allow to estimate dynamic equations that explain a low-frequency variable by high-frequency variables and their lags. When the difference in sampling frequencies between the regressand and the regressors is large, distributed lag functions are typically...