Showing 1 - 4 of 4
Official euro area-wide statistics on the capital stock and its breakdowns by asset type and sector are not yet available, but would be very useful for economic and financial stability analysis. This paper proposes a constrained optimisation model with the help of which a full cross-sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664055
The use of large datasets for macroeconomic forecasting has received a great deal of interest recently. Boosting is one possible method of using high-dimensional data for this purpose. It is a stage-wise additive modelling procedure, which, in a linear specification, becomes a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491104
This paper models industrial new orders across European Union (EU) Member States for various breakdowns. A common modelling framework exploits both soft data (business opinion surveys) and hard data (industrial turnover). The estimates show for about 200 cases that the model determinants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664038
Forecast models with large cross-sections are often subject to overparameterization leading to unstable parameter estimates and hence inaccurate forecasts. Recent articles suggest that a large Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with sufficient prior information dominates competing approaches....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342246