We discuss here a method for identifying relationships between high-frequency and lowfrequency data based on a dynamic regression technique. This allows users to estimate a quarterly analogue to an underlying monthly regression equation. The resulting equation which may be non-linear in the...

This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s. After a review of theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP, in the empirical part we lay out evidence on the M1-GDP relation in the euro area, using...

This paper assesses the statistical reliability of different measures of the output gap - the multivariate Hodrick-Prescott Filter, the multivariate unobserved components method and the structural vector autoregressive model - in the Euro area. Three criteria are used: the consistency of...

This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that real interest rates had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here for the first time using...