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We empirically investigate the role of prospect theory in the foreign exchange market. Using the historical distribution of exchange rate changes, we construct a currency-level measure of prospect theory value and find that it negatively forecasts future currency excess returns. High prospect...
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We investigate the real effects of foreign exchange (FX) uncertainty on an important economic growth engine-technological innovation. In a sample consisting of 55 countries, we measure FX uncertainty using the unexpected FX volatility and then show that heightened FX uncertainty is associated...
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