We ask whether the markets expected the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to discontinue the 1.20 cap on the Swiss franc against the euro in January 2015. In the runup to the SNB announcement, neither options on the euro/Swiss franc nor FX liquidity indicated a significant shift in market expectations....

Meine Dissertation besteht aus drei Arbeiten zum Thema Wechselkurse: (1) Liquidität in Devisenmärkten, (2) Währungsstrategien und Länderrisiko, (3) Zusammenhang zwischen Devisen-, Anleihenmärkte und Geldpolitik. Die erste Arbeit ist in Zusammenarbeit mit Prof. Angelo Ranaldo und Prof. Paul...

Devaluation expectations for the Swedish krona are estimated for the period 1982-1991 with several methods. First the "simplest test" is applied under either only the minimal assumption of "no positive minimum profit" or the additional assumption of uncovered interest parity. Then a more precise...

We ask whether verbal interventions by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) affected market beliefs in the desired direction during the period from 2011 to 2015, when the SNB imposed a cap on the Swiss franc at 1.20 against the euro. A verbal intervention was a speech by a member of the SNB Governing...