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Using belief elicitation, the paper investigates the formation and the evolution of beliefs in a signalling game in which a common prior on Sender's type is not induced. Beliefs are elicited about the type of the Sender and about the strategies of the players. The experimental subjects often...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535526
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of … JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
This paper analyzes the effect of information overload on preference or aversion for variety. According to the model, a rational decision maker who suffers from information overload, faces a two-stage decision process, and is choosing from a set of unknown goods will find it optimal at some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009023315
This paper analyzes the effect of information overload on preference or aversion for variety. According to the model, a rational decision maker who suffers from information overload, faces a two-stage decision process, and is choosing from a set of unknown goods will find it optimal at some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322601
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics emphasizing a complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous agents who do not fully understand their complex environment and use simple decision heuristics. Central to our survey is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929804
dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897328
This paper presents experimental evidence about how individuals learn from information that comes from inside versus outside their ethnic group. In the experiment, Thai subjects observed information that came from Americans and other Thais that they could use to help them answer a series of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125584
unknown value. A winner s curse phenomenon arises when subjects bid too high and make losses. Learning direction theory can … quantitative predictions on the basis of learning direction theory. We also look at monotonic ladder processes. It is shown that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539130
dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
The paper investigates social-learning when the information structure is not commonly known. Individuals repeatedly … interact in social-learning settings with distinct information structures. In each round of interaction, they use their … behavior in the long-run if and only if individuals distinguish social-learning settings and receive rich feedback after each …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434567