Juodis, Artūras; Kucinskas, Simas - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 14 (2023) 2, pp. 609-650
Expectations affect economic decisions, and inaccurate expectations are costly. Expectations can be wrong due to either bias (systematic mistakes) or noise (unsystematic mistakes). We develop a framework for quantifying the level of noise in survey expectations. The method is based on the...
