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Forecasting inflation via electronic markets

Berlemann, Michael; Nelson, Forrest D. - In: Annals of economics and finance 14 (2013) 2, pp. 361-388

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480662

Market news and credibility cues improve house price predictions : an experiment on bounded rationality in real estate

Isler, Ozan; Flew, Terry; Erol, Isil; Dulleck, Uwe - In: Journal of behavioral and experimental finance 31 (2021), pp. 1-5

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815800

Models of investor forecasting behavior : experimental evidence

Bonetto, Federico; Cheriyan, Vinod; Kleywegt, Anton J. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 11 (2018) 1, pp. 1-41

forecasting future price changes, and the nature of their confidence when price changes are forecast, determine whether price …Different forecasting behaviors affect investors’ trading decisions and lead to qualitatively different asset price … involving multiple investors who participated in a market for a virtual asset. Our goal is to study investors’ forecast …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854982

What point of a distribution summarises point predictions?

Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019

the next draw as a forecast. We find that most of the forecasters report point predictions that are close to one of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115998

Comparison of different question formats eliciting point predictions

Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019

Survey questions that elicit point predictions regarding uncertain events face an important challenge as human forecasters use various statistics to summarise their subjective expectations. In this paper, we take up the challenge and study whether alternative formulations of the questions used...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115999

Anatomy of an experimental political stock market

Forsythe, Robert (contributor) - In: The American economic review 82 (1992) 5, pp. 1142-1161

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001135697

The Iowa presidential stock market : a field experiment

Forsythe, Robert (contributor) - 1991

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001105559

"Passauer Wahlbörse": information processing in a political market experiment

Beckmann, Klaus - In: Kyklos : international review for social sciences 49 (1996) 2, pp. 171-204

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001200534

Forecasting inflation via electronic markets : results from a prototype market

Berlemann, Michael - 2001

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001637552

Determination of Odds in Prediction Markets : Coexistence of Posted-Offer and Double-Auction Designs

Celik, Levent; Onur, Esen - 2015

This paper studies the coexistence of two competing mechanisms in the same market, where one follows the posted-offer rule and the other one incorporates a double-auction mechanism. We explore this coexistence within a sports betting example in which bettors are free to choose between a bookie...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014137985