A common finding in laboratory studies is that subjects anchor on irrelevant initial cues when valuing assets. We run a field experiment to examine whether this heuristic can be exploited to manipulate prices in real markets. We provide early quotes in a series of horse race betting markets, and...

We conduct a field experiment to see if market liquidity has a causal effect on price efficiency and, if so, why. We randomly provide liquidity in certain horse race betting markets, and not in others. We find that prices in treated markets are indeed more efficient than prices in control...

Prediction markets have proved excellent tools for forecasting, outperforming experts and polls in many settings. But do larger markets, with wider participation, perform better than smaller markets? In this paper we analyse a series of repeated natural experiments in sports betting. The Queen's...