Using a unique hand collected dataset which comprises the 2009 balance sheets of all Italian listed REITs, we test whether NAV discount can be explained by expert assessor over-estimations. Our results suggest that expert assessors make conservative assessments of NAV values, thus they are not...

We construct a neural network algorithm that generates price predictions for art at auction, relying on both visual and non-visual object characteristics. We find that higher automated valuations relative to auction house pre-sale estimates are associated with substantially higher...

To identify expertise, forecasters should not be tested by their calibration score, which can always be made arbitrarily small, but rather by their Brier score. The Brier score is the sum of the calibration score and the refinement score; the latter measures how good the sorting into bins with...