Lee and Chinn (2006) and Chinn and Lee (2009) decomposed the current account and real exchange rate into temporary and permanent shocks, and argued that a temporary shock creates the combination of current account surplus (deficit) and real exchange rate depreciation (appreciation). This paper...

This paper develops a model for balance-of-payments (BOP) crises triggered by an external shock. Whether an external shock induces a BOP crisis depends crucially on the sequence of policy actions taken by the government's monetary and fiscal authorities. If the fiscal authority moves first and...

This paper develops a model for balance-of-payments (BOP) crises triggered by an external shock. Whether an external shock induces a BOP crisis depends crucially on the sequence of policy actions taken by the government's monetary and fiscal authorities. If the fiscal authority moves first and...