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We propose a dynamic factor model for the analysis of multivariate time series count data. Our model allows for idiosyncratic as well as common serially correlated latent factors in order to account for potentially complex dynamic interdependence between series of counts. The model is estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296304
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We propose a dynamic factor model for the analysis of multivariate time series count data. Our model allows for idiosyncratic as well as common serially correlated latent factors in order to account for potentially complex dynamic interdependence between series of counts. The model is estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003738598
We propose a dynamic factor state-space model for high-dimensional covariance matrices of asset returns. It uses observed risk factors and assumes that the latent covariance matrix of assets and factors is observed through their realized covariance matrix with a Wishart measurement density. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908082
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175249
Factor models can cope with many variables without running into scarce degrees of freedom problems often faced in a regression-based analysis. In this article we review recent work on dynamic factor models that have become popular in macroeconomic policy analysis and forecasting. By means of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295783
This paper discusses a factor model for estimating monthly GDP using a large number of monthly and quarterly time series in real-time. To take into account the different periodicities of the data and missing observations at the end of the sample, the factors are estimated by applying an EM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295822
From time to time, economies undergo far-reaching structural changes. In this paper we investigate the consequences of structural breaks in the factor loadings for the specification and estimation of factor models based on principal components and suggest test procedures for structural breaks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298752
This paper compares alternative estimation procedures for multi-level factor models which imply blocks of zero restrictions on the associated matrix of factor loadings. We suggest a sequential least squares algorithm for minimizing the total sum of squared residuals and a two-step approach based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053269