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This article tests the efficiency of the hog options market and assesses the impact of the 1996 contract redesign on efficiency. We find that the hog options market is efficient, but some options yielded excess returns during the live hogs period but not during the lean hogs period. Our findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443770
The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions,and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle optionsmarkets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor ofrealized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446388
-based forecasts, ARIMA, andunrestricted Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models. Quarterly data are available from 1975.Ithrough 2007.IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446396
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A comparative analysis was performed looking at using cash, futures, options, or insurance to manage the price of calves for cow-calf producer. Risk can be reduced with the futures market and with options or LRP insurance. Options and LRP insurance are equivalent in the amount of risk that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368375
The first step towards forecasting the price and output of the cattle industry is understanding the dynamics of the livestock production process. This study follows up on the Weimar and Stillman (1990) paper by using data from 1970 to 2005 to estimate the parameters that characterizes the cattle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368377
-based forecasts, ARIMA, and unrestricted Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models. Quarterly data are available from 1975.I through 2007.IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368379
The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions, and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle options markets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor of realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368384