This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily...

This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily...

This study investigates the value of two variance components and variance jumps in the pricing of VIX derivatives. In an attempt to significantly reduce the computational burden, we propose an efficient numerical technique for the pricing of VIX derivatives under the affine framework. Our...

We investigate the extent to which the provision by sell side analysts of cash flow forecasts incremental to earnings forecasts has an impact on the quality of Australian firms' financial reporting. Using two separate and distinct indicators of earnings quality, we consistently fail to find...

This study proposes and validates “other information” in analysts' forecasts as a legitimate proxy for future cash flows, and examines its incremental role in explaining stock return volatility. We suggest that “other information” contains information about fundamentals beyond that...