We investigate whether analysts' long-term growth (LTG) forecasts are a signal of analyst effort, which is reflected in the long-term profitability of their stock recommendations. We develop a one-year-ahead LTG forecast likelihood score and execute a trading strategy that generates average...

Prior research has shown improvements in analysts' forecast accuracy around various events (e.g. new disclosure regulations or cross-listings), but these studies do not consider a change in the composition and ability of analysts providing forecasts over time. By studying foreign firms...

We examine how analysts' incentives to build their reputation through accurate forecasting changes the relative association between analyst recommendations and rigorous valuation models versus valuation heuristics. Controlling for the firm-specific difficulty of valuation, we show that the...