This study analyzes the potential effectiveness of using simple technical analysis indicators to determine the overall riskiness of portfolio asset allocation. Using the 200-day simple moving average of the S&P500 as our technical indicator in two separate strategies, we employ a “risk-on”...

Studies analyzing return expectations of financial market participants like fund managers, CFOs or individual investors are highly influential in academia and practice. We argue and show that the results in these surveys above are easily influenced by the elicitation mode of return expectations....