The global financial crisis of 2007-2008 focused the attention of financial authorities on developing methods to forecast and avoid future financial crises of similar magnitude. We contribute to the literature on crisis prediction in several important ways. First, we develop an early warning...

Reliable forecasts of an economic crisis well in advance of its onset could permit effective preventative measures to mitigate its consequences. Using the EU15 crisis of 2008 as a template, we develop methodology that can accurately predict the crisis several quarters in advance in each country....

In this study we compare the interplay between capital and asset risks before and during the 2007-2009 financial crisis for the US life and health insurance industries partitioned into segments by product specialization, size, and governance. The results show substantial intra-industry variation...

This study describes the AIG model of operations prior to the conglomerate failure up to the point when the liquidity crisis triggered the massive bailout by the US government. It is a study designed to provide understanding of the key factors in the demise of AIG in relationship to systemic...