In einzelnen europäischen Ländern bewegen sich die Vermögenspreise in Folge der Niedrigzinspolitik und Quantitativen Lockerung auf einem Niveau, das erhöhte Wachsamkeit verlangt. Gefordert ist nicht die Geldpolitik im engeren Sinne, deren Kurs angesichts der wirtschaftlichen Lage im Euroraum...

This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...

Governments on both sides of the Atlantic have reacted with a raft of new regulations to the US subprime mortgage crisis. The article argues that while these new rules actually touch many of the incentive and information problems which were instrumental in creating the crisis, they only address...