This paper focuses on the spatial variation in the uptake of social security benefits following a large and detrimental exogenous shock. Specifically, we focus on the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. We construct a two-period panel of 66 Territorial...

In this paper we analyse the role of the international trade network for the strength of the global recession across countries. The novelty of our paper is the use of value-added trade data to capture the importance of trade network structure. We estimate with BMA techniques how far network...

A financial market can be expressed in a network structure where the stocks resides as nodes and the links account for returns correlation. Centrality measure in the financial network structure captures firms' embeddedness and connectivity in the capital market structure. This paper investigates...

In this paper the contagious effect of the default of one financial institution is discussed. For that purpose, a network model is introduced describing the interconnectedness between different banks as well as their dependencies to the rest of the economy. Then, possible extensions to this...

This study efforts to construct an effective early warning system (EWS) to predict sovereign crises for China and distinguish different levels of leading determinants, such as macro-economic fundamentals and risk transmission factors, impact significance in signaling the volatility quantified...

We develop a model of neural networks to study the bankruptcy of U.S. banks. We provide a new model to predict bank defaults some time before the bankruptcy occurs, taking into account the specific features of the current financial crisis. Based on data from the Federal Deposit Insurance...

The purpose of this paper is to present a neuro-fuzzy approach of financial distress pre-warning model appropriate for risk supervisors, investors and policy makers. We examine a sample of the financial institutions and electronic companies of Taiwan Security Exchange (TSE) from 2002 through...

The large number of financial crises in emerging markets over the past ten years has left many observers, both from academia and financial institutions, puzzled by an apparent lack of homogenous causal relations between endogenous economic variables and the bursting of large financial shocks....

In this article we provide a summary of empirical results obtained in several economics and operations research papers that attempt to explain, predict, or suggest remedies for financial crises or banking defaults; we also outline the methodologies used in them. We analyze financial and economic...

In this article we provide a summary of empirical results obtained in several economics and operations research papers that attempt to explain, predict, or suggest remedies for financial crises or banking defaults, as well as outlines of the methodologies used. We analyze financial and economic...