This chapter outlines policies to help solve the debt overhang and bring about recovery in both groups of countries. The current financial turmoil is confronting emerging market economies with two shocks: a 'sudden stop' of capital inflows resulting from the global deleveraging process, and a...

Financial boom-bust cycles -- Lending booms and lending standards / Giovanni Dell'Ariccia, Robert Marquez -- Are weak banks leading credit boom? : Evidence from emerging Europe / Deniz Igan, Natalia Tamirisa -- Growth dynamics : the myth of economic review / Valerie Cerra, Sweta Chaman Saxena --...

This paper summarizes a suite of early warning models to assess the probabilities of growth, fiscal, and financial crises in advanced economies and emerging markets. We estimate separate signal-extraction models for each type of crisis and sample of countries, and we use our results to generate...

Macrofinancial linkages have long been at the core of the IMF's mandate to oversee the stability of the global financial system. With the advent of the economic crisis, the Fund has drawn on this research in order to contribute to critical debates on the nature of appropriate policy responses at...