"Time and time again, individual investors discover - all too late - that picking stocks is a loser's game. The alternative lies with index funds. Index funds allows investors to invest more cheaply while prospering all the more because the money saved on investment expenses stays in one's own...

"We review the literature on return and cash flow growth predictability form the perspective of the present-value identity. We focus predominantly on recent work. Our emphasis is on U.S. aggregate stock return predictability, but we also discuss evidence from other asset classes and...