Showing 1 - 10 of 8,429
This paper presents a tractable model of non-linear dynamics of market returns using a Langevin approach.Due to non-linearity of an interaction potential, the model admits regimes of both small and large return fluctuations. Langevin dynamics are mapped onto an equivalent quantum mechanical (QM)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251128
This paper reviews recent developments in macro and finance on the relationship between financial risk and the real …-term decline - in the variance risk premium, and time variation in conditional skewness. We also introduce two new data series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437009
downward sloping term structure of low-frequency variance risk premia in normal times. In periods of distress, the term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities - led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003889053
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge … against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices … may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets from leveraged intermediaries, whose issuance of safe assets exposes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705247
focus to severe downside risk (i.e., crashes). I use the cointegrating relationship between the log S&P Composite Index and … in relation to fundamentals entails a higher risk of a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777936
risk premia from the perspective of the standard consumption-based asset pricing model. The relation arises from the fact … consumption of the representative investor. Since the pricing kernel is a function of aggregate consumption, financial risk premia … average risk premia prevailing during the so-called Great Moderation, namely the period preceding the recent turmoil in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735211
We provide a theory of fire sales in which potential buyers are subject to liquidity shocks and frictions that limit their ability to resell assets. The model predictions align with some stylized facts about the large sales of corporate bonds and Treasury securities during the COVID-19 economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014562915
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk is priced in the cross- section of expected stock returns …. Motivated by a theoretical asset pricing model, we capture the multivariate crash risk of a stock by a combined measure based on …. We find that stocks with a high exposure to joint crashes of the market and the momentum factor bear a risk premium which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993538
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk (MCRASH), defined as exposure to extreme realizations of … returns than stocks with low MCRASH. The premium is not explained by linear factor exposures, alternative downside risk … measures or stock characteristics. Extending market-based definitions of crash risk to other well-established factors helps to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585546