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We develop a novel framework using Bayesian networks to capture distress dependence in the context of counterparty credit risk. This allows us to calibrate the probability of distress of an entity conditional on the distress of a different entity. We apply our methodology to wrong-way risk model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843080
This paper presents a tractable model of non-linear dynamics of market returns using a Langevin approach.Due to non-linearity of an interaction potential, the model admits regimes of both small and large return fluctuations. Langevin dynamics are mapped onto an equivalent quantum mechanical (QM)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251128
downturns, to examine risk, return and diversification benefits of fine wine. Our research shows evidence that the wine market …, during the recent financial crisis these effects are most pronounced and improve portfolio diversification when it is most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151177
frontier markets in global equity portfolio diversification is clearly less examined. We contribute to the existing literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233132
The contribution of this paper is the extension of theoretical and practical applicability in complex systems of a fundamental concept of extreme value theory. More precisely, the paper formulates a stochastic model and establishes the sufficient conditions for evaluating its distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768247
This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating a cash injection into a financial system in distress. Given a one-period borrower-lender network in which all debts are due at the same time and have the same seniority, we address the problem of allocating a fixed amount of cash among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046104
Diversification of financial securities is considered a substantial element of portfolio risk. In this context, the … individual portfolios and later compared to the hypothetical common equity index. The results show diversification benefits …35, FTSE MIB, and FTSE100. In contrast, DAX, MDAX, and CAC40 on average tend to be less diversified. The diversification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277308
Diversification practices by banks affect their own risk of failing and the risk of the banking system as a whole … (systemic risk). A seminal theoretical work has shown that linear diversification can reduce the risk of a bank failing, but at … for securitization with two tranches, by finding their corresponding optimal diversification solutions, and by discussing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471496
. The paper contributes to the debate shedding light on the controversial relation between risk-diversification and … setting and by a mean-field approximation the law of motion of the system's fragility is derived. We show that diversification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114499
crisis by evaluating the potential benefits of international diversification in the search for ‘safe havens’. We use stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556006