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Abreu and Brunnermeier (2003) have argued that bubbles are not suppressed by arbitrageurs because they fail to … with the alternative according to which bubbles persist due to the difficulty of agreeing on the end of bubbles. We present …. We find overwhelming evidence that the beginning of bubbles is much better constrained that their end. Our results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507794
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407524
We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625108
bubbles. By using the formalism of dynamical system theory, we explain what drives the bubbles and how foreshocks or … rationalises the log-periodic power law singularity pattern documented in many historical financial bubbles. The notion of ‘ghosts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762259
The study analyses financial cycles based on a global sample of 34 advanced and developing countries over the period 1960Q1 to 2015Q4. We use dynamic factor models and state-space techniques to estimate financial cycles in credit, housing, bond and equity markets, as well as aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011815430
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There is a general acceptance of the fact that a significant direct relationship between financial markets and macroeconomic variables exists, especially by considering the assertion that developed financial markets correspond to high GDP levels. This paper provides an investigation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011480254