In the event that the COVID-19 pandemic spreads across various stock markets, this study may be deemed as one of the primary studies to evaluate cross-market interactions. The study examines the spread of contagious effects originating from developed economies (the United States, the United...

In the present paper we examine whether financial markets could have helped predict exchange rates in three selected Central and Eastern European (CEE) economies of the EU, namely the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, during the current financial crisis. To this end, we derive risk-neutral...

This paper describes a set of indicators of systemic risk computed from current market prices of equity and equity index options. It displays results from a prototype version, computed daily from January 2006 to January 2013. The indicators represent a systemic risk event as the realization of...

Using a daily data set of stock market indexes and foreign exchange rates for twenty countries for a ten year period from July 02, 2001 to January 18, 2011, we analyze whether the global financial crisis of 2007 has any significant impact on the pattern of global market integration. Unit root...

Eigenfunction and quadrature methods have been extensively used in asset pricing as a forecasting tool. In contrast, their application to systemic risk has been limited. With the advent of high frequency options panels we document a battery of measures that can be used to measure and forecast...

This paper evaluates the impact of accounting and market-driven information on the prediction of bankruptcy for Greek firms using the discrete hazard approach. The findings show that a hazard model that incorporates three accounting ratio components of Z-score and three market-driven variables...

This paper describes a set of indicators of systemic risk computed from current market prices of equity and equity index options. It displays results from a prototype version, computed daily from January 2006 to January 2013. The indicators represent a systemic risk event as the realization of...

This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk is priced in the cross- section of expected stock returns. Motivated by a theoretical asset pricing model, we capture the multivariate crash risk of a stock by a combined measure based on its expected shortfall and its multivariate lower...

The aim of this research is to analyze a short-term risk premium in Poland between 2005 and 2015. In particular one-day periods are considered. It is studies whether the same GARCH type model can be applied for the whole period, or whether the estimated parameters differ significantly for...

We construct risk-neutral return probability distributions from S&P 500 options data over the decade 2003 to 2013, separable into pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis regimes. The pre-crisis period is characterized by increasing realized and, especially, option-implied returns. This translates...