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I examine the relation between Federal Reserve emergency actions and aggregate U.S. systemic risk during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 crisis. I divide these actions in to three categories: lender of last resort (LLR), liquidity provision, and open market operations (OMO)....
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Theory suggests that government aid to banks may either reduce or increase systemic risk. We are the first to address this issue empirically, analyzing the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP). Analysis suggests that TARP significantly reduced contributions to systemic risk, particularly for...
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Using Bank for International Settlements (BIS) data on cross-border bank flows across 128 countries and over two decades, we find that heightened bank flows are associated with improved financial stability in a recipient country's bank system. The reductions in marginal expected shortfall (MES)...
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I compare the performance of three measures of institution-level systemic risk exposure — Exposure CoVaR (Adrian and Brunnermeier, 2016), Systemic Expected Shortfall (Acharya, et al., 2016),and Granger Causality (Billio,etal.,2012). I modify Exposure CoVaR to allow for forecasting, and...
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