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We introduce financial frictions in the spirit of Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999) into a standard RBC model and use the heterogeneous-prior framework of Angeletos, Collard, and Dellas (2018) to accommodate confidence-driven business cycle fluctuations. We show that financial frictions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961330
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298453
aggregate risk with entrepreneurs, and therefore bear uncertainty in their loan portfolios. Unexpected aggregate shocks will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915191
We study state dependence in the impact of monetary policy shocks over the leverage cycle for a panel of 10 euro area countries. We use a Bayesian Threshold Panel SVAR with regime classifications based on credit and house prices cycles. We find that monetary policy shocks trigger a smaller...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241107
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
This paper assesses the role of financial variables in real economic fluctuations, in view of analysing the link between financial cycles and business cycles at the global level. A Global VAR modelling approach, which has been proved suitable for modelling country or regional linkages, is used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476350
We discover sentiment-driven equilibria in popular models of imperfect risk sharing. In these equilibria, sentiment …-price declines; (ii) assetprice booms, with below-average risk premia, predict busts and financial crises. Methodologically, our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015329687
This paper studies the effects of three financial shocks in the economy: a net-worth shock, an uncertainty or risk … shock, and a credit-spread shock. We argue that only the latter can push the nominal interest rate against its zero lower … bound. Further, a recessionary shock to the net worth or the credit spread generates a positive response for loans, which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243420
In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761866
real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this … estimated framework to quantify the output loss due to the large uncertainty shock that materialized in 2008Q3. We find such a … shock to be able to explain about 60% of the output loss in the 2008-2014 period. The same estimated model unveils the role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495676