This paper contributes to the literature on the properties of money and credit indicators for detecting asset price misalignments. After a review of the evidence in the literature on this issue, the paper discusses the approaches that can be considered to detect asset price busts. Considering a...

Economic policy for the information economy: a summary of the Bank's 2001 economic symposium / Craig S. Hakkio -- Opening remarks / Alan Greenspan -- The "new economy": background, historical perspective, questions, and speculations / J. Bradford DeLong and Lawrence H. Summers. Commentary /...

This paper discusses the link between financial development and macroeconomic volatility by exploring some of the ways through which financial development may affect business cycle fluctuations. To be specific, we examine whether stock market development exerts an unambiguous effect on...

We analyze how a benevolent, privately informed government agency would optimally release information about the economy's growth rate when the agents hold heterogeneous beliefs. We model two types of agent: "conforming'' and "dissenting.'' The former has a prior that is identical to that of the...