In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete.We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct credit networks severely underestimate the risk of...

GARCH Models have become a workhouse in volatility forecasting of financial and monetary market time series. In this article, we assess the small sample properties in estimation and the performance in volatility forecasting of four competing distribution free methods, including quasi-maximum...

The research focuses on the financial turmoil, pursuing different methods to foretell such turmoil. Besides, the methods are undertaken from (McCulloch and Pitts 1943) and ended till (Hosaka 2019). The evidence from such a comprehensive analysis pointed to the use of various ratios using...

We consider the optimal contract between an entrepreneur and investors in a moral hazard model when both parties have limited liability, are risk-neutral toward cash flow risk, and are ambiguity-averse. In the static setting, the first-best security is either convertible debt or levered equity....