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Is a more liberal approach to conservatism needed in forecasting?

Goodwin, Paul - In: Journal of business research : JBR 68 (2015) 8, pp. 1753-1754

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317068

When simple alternatives to Bayes formula work well : reducing the cognitive load when updating probability forecasts

Goodwin, Paul - In: Journal of business research : JBR 68 (2015) 8, pp. 1686-1691

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317089

Judgemental probability forecasts for personal and impersonal events

Wright, George - In: International journal of forecasting 5 (1989) 1, pp. 117-125

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001088663

Improving and enhancing scenario planning : futures thinking

Crawford, Megan M. (ed.); Wright, George (ed.) - 2025

"This book presents a contemporary view of the approaches and theories that inform global scenario planning and foresight science, providing practical recommendations for improving scenario development processes. Its insights bridge the gap between last century's foundations and this century's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015398199

The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments

Önkal, Dilek; Goodwin, Paul; Wilkie-Thomson, Mary E. - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 22 (2009) 4, pp. 390-409

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003894837

The use of analogies in forecasting the annual sales of new electronics products

Goodwin, Paul; Dyussekeneva, Karima; Meeran, Sheik - In: IMA journal of management mathematics 24 (2013) 4, pp. 407-422

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009789416

Reproducibility in forecasting research

Boylan, John E.; Goodwin, Paul; Mohammadipour, Maryam; … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 79-90

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327464

When providing optimistic and pessimistic scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions

Goodwin, Paul; Gönül, M. Sinan; Önkal, Dilek - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 273 (2019) 3, pp. 992-1004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987671

When do changes in consumer preferences make forecasts from choice-based conjoint models unreliable?

Meeran, Sheik; Jahanbin, Semco; Goodwin, Paul; Frota … - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 258 (2017) 2, pp. 512-524

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011644147

A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts

Goodwin, Paul; Petropoulos, Fotios; Hyndman, Rob J. - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society : OR 68 (2017) 9, pp. 1082-1084

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799306