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We show that the personal traits of analysts, as revealed by their political donations, influence their forecasting behavior and stock prices. Analysts who contribute primarily to the Republican Party adopt a more conservative forecasting style. Their earnings forecast revisions are less likely...
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This study investigates whether the properties of sell-side analysts' earnings forecasts are associated with the adverse macroeconomic conditions that exist at the time of their initial hire or major promotion. We find that analysts who begin their career in an economic recession are more...
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Using a novel dataset containing the forecasts of both buy-side and sell-side analysts, and individual investors, we find that crowdsourced earnings forecasts are more accurate than expert forecasts of sell-side analysts. Examining the economic mechanisms that generate superior crowd forecasts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005083
The paper finds that firms' exposure to temperature changes predicts stock returns. We use the sensitivity of stock returns to abnormal temperature changes to measure firm-level climate sensitivity. Stocks with higher climate sensitivity forecast lower stock returns. A trading strategy that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893196
We study the forecasting behavior of minority sell-side equity analysts. Distinct from the impact of cultural and geographic diversity, we demonstrate that, although minority analyst forecasts have lower accuracy, consistency in their forecasts generates stronger correlation between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353348
This study examines whether sell-side equity analysts help the market assimilate information contained in global climate change. Using a new measure of firm sensitivity to climate change, we show that analysts located in states where firms exhibit greater sensitivity to abnormal temperature...
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