Development of Russian and world economies in Q2 2020 demonstrates that despite economic collapse countries are adapting to the current situation and in case there is no second wave of pandemic the crisis will take a V-type form. In particular, the oil price is unlikely to drop below $35 per...

Preliminary data on Russia's economic results of 2015, as well as the current trends in the global energy market, give grounds for revising down possible scenarios for Russia's economy in 2016-2017. For instance, a scenario of yearly average oil prices staying at $35 a barrel in 2016 is now the...

A 2019–2024 forecast of the Russian Ministry of Economic Development can be regarded as a modest and realistic projection for 2019–2020 and a target projection intended to achieve the nation's development targets for 2021–2024. The forecast contains some controversial provisions which can...

Developments that unfolded in Q1 2016, particularly the decline of crude oil prices down to a 12-year low, may result in worse-than-expected outcomes at 2016 year-end. Unlike the forecast that we made in January, we have revised down our 2016 baseline scenario for GDP growth rates from -1.4% to...

Russia's positive balance of trade increased in Q1 2018 reflecting an increase of exports value amid slower growth of imports deliveries. Private capital outflow was observed triggered by the growth of foreign assets of Russian enterprises amid negative geopolitical expectations

The imposition of sweeping sanctions against Russia has a negative impact on the entire global economy, contributing to accelerating inflation and slowing economic growth. The decline in GDP growth in most G-20 countries has been influenced, among other things, by tightening of the monetary...

In July, the IMF, the European Commission, and the Asian Development Bank updated their previous world economic development forecasts. In the updated IMF forecast, the global GDP growth rate for 2022 is reduced to 3.2% because of a slowdown in the movement of that indicator in the largest G20...

Every country faces what economists call an intertemporal (across time) budget constraint, which requires that its government's future expenditures, including the servicing of its outstanding official debt, be covered by its government's future receipts when measured in present value. The...