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Economic evaluation of commodity price forecasting models

Gerlow, Mary E. - In: International journal of forecasting 9 (1993) 3, pp. 387-397

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001159385

The forecasting performance of livestock futures prices : a comparison to USDA expert predictions

Irwin, Scott H. - In: The journal of futures markets 14 (1994) 7, pp. 861-875

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001171170

The performance of alternative VAR models in forecasting exchange rates

Liu, Te-ru - In: International journal of forecasting 10 (1994) 3, pp. 419-433

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001174437

Are USDA forecasts optimal? : a systematic review

Massa, Olga Isengildina; Karali, Berna; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Journal of agricultural and applied economics : JAEE 56 (2024) 3, pp. 496-527

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015188172

Empirical confidence intervals for USDA commodity price forecasts

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; … - In: Applied economics 43 (2011) 25/27, pp. 3789-3803

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380633

When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Karali, Berna; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Applied economics 45 (2013) 34/36, pp. 5086-5103

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226416

Forecast performance of WASDE price projections for U.S. corn

Hoffman, Linwood A.; Etienne, Xiaoli Liao; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Agricultural economics : the journal of the … 46 (2015), pp. 157-171

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411503

Do markets correct for smoothing in USDA crop production forecasts? : evidence from private analysts and futures prices

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Karali, Berna; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Applied economic perspectives and policy 39 (2017) 4, pp. 559-583

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008777

Can private forecasters beat the USDA? : analysis of relative accuracy of crop acreage and production forecasts

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Karali, Berna; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Journal of agricultural and applied economics : JAEE 52 (2020) 4, pp. 545-561

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012430384

Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?

Isengildina Massa, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - 2010

This article uses Nordhaus' framework to determine the efficiency of the revision process for USDA corn and soybean production forecasts over the 1970/1971 through 2004/2005 marketing years. Positive autocorrelation and consistency of directional changes in forecast revisions suggest these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055303