We describe the challenges of forecasting earnings in a globally interconnected marketplace, and we document inefficient use of information regarding foreign country exposures and expected country GDP growth at the consensus and individual forecast levels. A country's proximity to the US,...

We examine the overall and individual analyst performance of 12-month-ahead target price forecasts over the 10-years, 2000-2009. Implied target price-based returns exceed actual returns by an average of 15%, and absolute target price forecast errors average 45%. At the end of the 12-month...

We investigate the implications of firms' benchmark-beating pattern with respect to analysts' quarterly cash flow forecasts for current capital market valuation and future firm performance. We contend that nonnegative earnings surprises are more likely to be supported by real operating...

We investigate the implications of recommendation-forecast consistency for the informativeness of stock recommendations and earnings forecasts and the quality of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Stock recommendations and earnings forecasts are often issued simultaneously and evaluated jointly by...

Crowdsourcing — when a task normally performed by employees is outsourced to a large network of people via an open call — is making inroads into the investment research industry. We shed light on this new phenomenon by examining the value of crowdsourced earnings forecasts. Our sample...