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Bank of Finland's long-run forecast framework with human capital

Kokkinen, Arto; Obstbaum, Meri; Mäki-Fränti, Petri - 2021

. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast framework based on enodogenous growth theory with human and fixed …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745160

Bank of Finland's long-run forecast framework with human capital

Kokkinen, Arto; Obstbaum, Meri; Mäki-Fränti, Petri - 2021

. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast framework based on enodogenous growth theory with human and fixed …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703120

Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models

Meyer-Gohde, Alexander; Shabalina, Ekaterina - 2022

In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast macroeconomic variables that combines two existing approaches to mixed-frequency data in DSGE models. The first existing approach estimates the DSGE model in a quarterly frequency and uses higher frequency auxiliary data only for forecasting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471326

Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test

Lehmann, Robert; Reif, Magnus - In: Journal of Business Cycle Research 17 (2021) 2, pp. 215-232

providers. We conduct an out-of-sample, real-time forecast experiment for growth of total and private sector gross domestic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501911

The ISAC Model: Structure, Implementation and Stability

Jansson, Leif; Nordström, Tomas; Ysander, Bengt-Christer - 1982

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335125

Forecasting and policy making

Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik Hendrik - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368564

Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models

Blasques, Francisco; Koopman, Siem Jan; Mallee, Max - 2014

The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging … problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate … dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial missing values are inserted for the intermediate months of the quarterly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491332

Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components

Hindrayanto, Irma; Koopman, Siem Jan; de Winter, Jasper - 2014

them more suitable for real-time forecasting. We show that the factor models have been able to systematically beat the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491343

Indian Economic Outlook 2008-09 and 2009-10

Kumar, Rajiv - 2009

This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807640

Macroeconomic Forecast Accuracy in a Data-Rich Environment

Kotchoni, Rachidi; Leroux, Maxime; Stevanovic, Dalibor - 2017

unstable over time. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542450