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Population ageing constitutes a central challenge to Finland. Understanding the Finnish economy's likely future trajectory and the key sources of growth is important for the design of policies to counteract these adverse long-term trends. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast...
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The main contribution of this paper is the construction of a cyclical systemic risk indicator from early warning indicators of banking crises (EWIs) used in Finland. Previous research has shown that combining EWIs can enhance their early warning properties. This study evaluates the indicator's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014526680
Neural network, financial time series, approximation, forecasting. - Neuronale Netze, Finanzzeitreihen, Prognose …
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Economic Forecasting. Experimental Evidence on Individual Biases, Group Cooperation and Herd Behavior... …
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survey expectations data in forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464269
data sampling (MIDAS) regression is mainly a forecasting tool designed to harness mixed-frequency data. This dissertation … supervise banks inconsistently which affects the formation of costs. The accuracy of forecasting is low for banks supervised by … and it is discovered that the MIDAS model has superior forecasting accuracy as compared to the HAR model. The economic …
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