In more deregulated markets such as the UK, demand forecasting is vital for the electric industry as it is used to set electricity generation and purchasing, establishing electricity prices, load switching and demand response. In this paper we produce improved short-term forecasts of the demand...

In the past decade, the popularity of realized measures and various linear models for volatility forecasting has attracted attention in the literature on the price variability of energy markets. However, results that would guide practitioners to a specific estimator and model when aiming for the...

Prognosen zukünftiger Preise sind für volatile Strommärkte von großer Bedeutung. Fünf Modellarten werden vorgestellt und hinsichtlich einer Prognose der deutschen Day-Ahead-Markt-Preise verglichen. Für diesen Markt erfolgt die Parametrisierung eines Regressionsmodells, bei der eine...

The daily average price of electricity represents the price of electricity to be delivered over the full next day and serves as a key reference price in the electricity market. It is an aggregate that equals the average of hourly prices for delivery during each of the 24 individual hours. This...