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Statistical demography and forecasting

Alho, Juha M.; Spencer, Bruce D. - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002116348

Estimating the strength of expert judgement : the case of US mortality forecasts

Alho, Juha M. - In: Journal of forecasting 11 (1992) 2, pp. 157-167

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001136593

Annuity-based assessment of uncertainty in mortality

Alho, Juha M. - In: Revue économique : revue bimestrielle 59 (2008) 5, pp. 927-940

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003755076

Forecasting demographic forecasts

Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 1128-1135

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517765

Scenarios, uncertainty and conditional forecasts of the world population

Alho, Juha M. - In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 160 (1997) 1, pp. 71-85

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001212998

Assessing components of uncertainty in demographic forecasts with an application to fiscal sustainability

Alho, Juha M.; Lassila, Jukka - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 7, pp. 1560-1568

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432721

On predicitve distributions of public net liabilities

Alho, Juha M.; Vanne, Reijo - In: International journal of forecasting 22 (2006) 4, pp. 725-733

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003385859

Response to updated mortality forecasts in life cycle saving and labor supply

Määttänen, Niku; Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 1120-1127

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517766

Demographic forecasts and fiscal policy rules

Lassila, Jukka; Valkonen, Tarmo; Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 1098-1109

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517768

Assessing components of uncertainty in demographic forecasts with an application to fiscal sustainability

Alho, Juha M.; Lassila, Jukka - 2022

When the future evolution of demographic processes is described in a stochastic setting, the challenge is to communicate the meaning of forecast uncertainty in an understandable way, to decision makers and public at large. For the purpose of risk communication, a formal setting is developed, in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419096