managers alike. Both professions have found it increasingly difficult to forecast savings deposit flows. This article explores … models of the savings deposit market. To achieve this aim, I use the so-called FMP (MPS) macro model used by the Federal … savings bank in the US. I find that economists failed to find timeless determinants for the market for savings deposits …

investment over an out-of-sample period from 1983:Q1 to 2011:Q2, based on an in-sample estimates for 1963:Q1 to 1982:Q4. Both …, as well as 20 bivariate regression models, capture the influence of fundamentals in forecasting residential investment … residential investment, via an ex-ante forecast exercise from 2011:Q3 to 2012:Q4. The SSVS-Large model forecasts the turning …