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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001425335
We investigate on-line prediction of individual sequences. Given a class of predictors, the goal is to predict as well as the best predictor in the class, where the loss is measured by the self information (logarithmic) loss function. The excess loss (regret) is closely related to the redundancy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014159224
We present simple procedures for the prediction of a real valued sequence. The algorithms are based on a combination of several simple predictors. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a bounded stationary and ergodic random process then the average of squared errors converges, almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014142874
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003766292
We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a stationary and ergodic random process then the average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059754
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014555576