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Forecasting regional labour market developments under spatial heterogeneity and spatial autocorrelation

Longhi, Simonetta; Nijkamp, Peter - 2005

error models – to correct for misspecification due to neglected spatial autocorrelation in the data set. Our empirical …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343272

Spatial dependence in stock returns : local normalization and VaR forecasts

Schmitt, Thilo A.; Schäfer, Rudi; Wied, Dominik; Guhr, … - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 50 (2016) 3, pp. 1091-1109

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011481381

Forecasting spatially dependent origin and destination commodity flows

Lesage, James P.; Llano Verduras, Carlos - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 47 (2014) 4, pp. 1543-1562

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461898

Robust forecasting in spatial autoregressive model with total variation regularization

Jiang, He - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 2, pp. 195-211

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292141

Volatility and time series econometrics : essays in honor of Robert Engle

Bollerslev, Tim (ed.); Engle, Robert F. (honouree); … - 2010 - 1. publ.

Volatility and Time Series Econometrics: Essays in Honor of Robert F. .Engle Edited by … History of Econometrics at the University of California, San Diego: A Personal Viewpoint 1 … 6 7 Wives 8 8 The Econometrics Research Project …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861657

Quantile VARs and macroeconomic risk forecasting

Surprenant, Stéphane - 2025 - Last updated: January 17, 2025

Recent rises in macroeconomic volatility have prompted the introduction of quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) models to forecast macroeconomic risk. This paper provides an extensive evaluation of the predictive performance of QVAR models in a pseudo-out-of-sample experiment spanning 112...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015187517

What central bankers need to know about forecasting oil prices

Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2013

Forecasts of the quarterly real price of oil are routinely used by international organizations and central banks worldwide in assessing the global and domestic economic outlook, yet little is known about how best to generate such forecasts. Our analysis breaks new ground in several dimensions....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746576

Statistical inference for measures of predictive success

Demuynck, Thomas - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010386006

Nowcasting BRIC+M in real time

Dahlhaus, Tatjana; Guénette, Justin-Damien; Vasishtha, … - 2015

Emerging-market economies have become increasingly important in driving global GDP growth over the past 10 to 15 years. This has made timely and accurate assessment of current and future economic activity in emerging markets important for policy-makers not only in these countries but also in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374171

Balance sheets of financial intermediaries : do they forecast economic activity?

Sekkel, Rodrigo - 2014

This paper conducts a real-time, out-of-sample analysis of the forecasting power of various aggregate financial intermediaries' balance sheets to a wide range of economic activity measures in the United States. I find evidence that the balance sheets of leveraged financial institutions do have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401760