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) bias in β^. We add to this literature in two important ways. First, we focus on estimation of the fixed effects proper, as … these have become increasingly important in applied work. Second, we build on a bias-reduction approach originally developed …
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We reassess the predictability of U.S. recessions at horizons from three months to two years ahead for a large number of previously proposed leading-indicator variables. We employ an efficient probit estimator for partially missing data and assess relative model performance based on the receiver...
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Modern systems of official statistics require the estimation and publication of business statistics for disaggregated … area estimation. Recently proposed outlier robust modelbased small area methods assume, however, uncorrelated random …
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