Mit der Etablierung von Wahlbörsen zur Prognose späterer Wahlergebnisse entstand eine Vielzahl von Anwendungsfeldern für virtuelle Informationsbörsen als neues Instrument der Marktforschung. Die besonders betonte prognostische Qualität des Verfahrens und die entgegengebrachte...

This paper analyzes the impact of model complexity on the valuation of a project financed power plant along two dimensions: The NPV distribution and the expected cumulative default probability of the project. Model complexity is separated into forecast and simulation complexity. Thereby, we aim...

This paper analyzes the impact of model complexity on the net present value distribution and the expected default probability of equity investments in project finance. Model complexity is analyzed along two dimensions: simulation complexity and forecast complexity. We aim to identify model...

Corporate misconduct is a huge and widespread problem in the economy. Many companies make mistakes that result in them having to pay penalties or compensation to other businesses. Some of these cases are so serious that they take a toll on a company’s financial condition. The purpose of this...