Problem definition: Airports and airlines have been challenged to improve decision-making by producing accurate forecasts in real time. We develop a two-phased predictive system that produces forecasts of transfer passenger flows at an airport. In the first phase, the system predicts the...

We study the problem of forecasting an entire demand distribution for a new product before and after its launch. Firms need accurate distributional forecasts of demand to make operational decisions about capacity, inventory and marketing expenditures. We introduce a unified, robust, and...

Over the years, families of forecasting models, such as the exponential smoothing family and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, have expanded to contain multiple possible forms and forecasting profiles. In this paper, we question the need to consider such large families of models. We...