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We address some of the key questions that arise in forecasting the price of crude oil. What do applied forecasters need to know about the choice of sample period and about the tradeoffs between alternative oil price series and model specifications? Are real or nominal oil prices predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014178604
We address some of the key questions that arise in forecasting the price of crude oil. What do applied forecasters need to know about the choice of sample period and about the tradeoffs between alternative oil price series and model specifications? Are real and nominal oil prices predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025541
There is a long tradition of using oil prices to forecast U.S. real GDP. It has been suggested that the predictive relationship between the price of oil and one-quarter ahead U.S. real GDP is nonlinear in that (1) oil price increases matter only to the extent that they exceed the maximum oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100207
We address some of the key questions that arise in forecasting the price of crude oil. What do applied forecasters need to know about the choice of sample period and about the tradeoffs between alternative oil price series and model specifications? Are real or nominal oil prices predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127577
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009155818
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715073
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287125
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287215
There is a long tradition of using oil prices to forecast U.S. real GDP. It has been suggested that the predictive relationship between the price of oil and one-quarter ahead U.S. real GDP is nonlinear in that (1) oil price increases matter only to the extent that they exceed the maximum oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014167514