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This study investigates the predictability of revisions to Euro-area major macroeconomic variables using real-time data from the European Central Bank. The application of nonparametric and semiparametric tests enables robust conclusions about the predictability of revisions. Though there is wide...
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bias (systematic mistakes) or noise (unsystematic mistakes). We develop a framework for quantifying the level of noise in … structure for individual expectations. Using data from professional forecasters, we find that the magnitude of noise is large …
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